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Military Coup Attempt In Turkey & Her Accession Into EU ~By Abbati Bako


Last year's Military Coup attempt in Turkey and the accession of Turkey in to EU; the analysis of the situation and the possibility & impossibility
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and US President Donald Trump

The last year’s Military Coup attempt in Turkey and the accession of Turkey in to EU; the analysis of the situation and the possibility and impossibility

S.W.O.T ANALYSIS 

Strengths:

• The EU and Turkey are strong trading partners. Turkey has a large internal market (excellent for European goods) which attracts large amounts of foreign direct investment (FDR). It is also known by its dynamic business environment (particularly strong in the textile industry and car manufacturing)

• Competitive economy – Turkey would become second largest economy in EU after Germany

• Growing labour force

• Significant progress has been made in complying with EU reforms and closing chapters – e.g. abolishing the death penalty and granting more rights to the Kurds

• Turkey is the key for the overall stability of the Middle East (EU’s top security priority)

• Secular democracy model viewed by Arabs as compatible with Islam

• Following EU’s energy diversification policy, Turkey, through the Nabucco pipeline could work as an additional supplier to Russian gas, providing energy supplies from Central Asia and Middle East to Europe

• Traditional historical ally since the Cold War (NATO’s member and biggest standing army in Europe)

Weaknesses:

• Muslim population – perceived by Europeans as culturally different (goes against predominantly “Christian” values)

• High unemployment

• Human rights – has given Turkey a poor reputation and remains an unresolved chapter for membership

• No freedom of religion – it is still understood as tolerance, rather than a fundamental part of human rights

• Cyprus – Turkey refuses to open up its ports to European Union member Cyprus

• Perceived terrorist threat from neighboring countries (Syria, Iraq, Iran)

Opportunities:

• Young, dynamic population – potential source of labour with EU birth rates declining

• Increasing political and economic stability

• Avoiding Turkey’s slipping to the East and to religious fundamentalism

• Strategic bridge between East and West

• Key for the overall stability of the Middle East (EU’s top security priority)

• Potential mediator in dealing with Iran on its nuclear threat 

• Important as regional power in contributing for Iraq’s democratic transition

• Turkey is on the front line of the war on terror. Once in the EU, co-operation on defense and security matters would strengthen

• Greek Cypriot Foreign Minister Markos Kyprianou said Cyprus won’t block Turkey’s EU bid

• EU reforms should increase investment opportunities in private sector

• Success of 2004 enlargement makes Turkey’s accession bid gain new ‘momentum’

• Turkey as part of the European cultural heritage – e.g. Istanbul will be the European Capital of Culture 2011/12

• EU slogan “United in Diversity”

Threats:

• Negative stereotype of Muslim immigration – fear that EU membership will lead to large in-flux of Turkish migration (financial crisis further strengthens this negative perception) 

• Politically unstable region, bordering Iran, Iraq and Syria

• Rising unemployment

• Increased Euro-skepticism at national level

• Public opinion is overwhelmingly against Turkey’s entry into the EU

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