Nigeria Would Be Fully Sharianised Before 2050, By 2070 Proclaimed Islamic Republic
(A Synopsis of 78th Birthday Message of Prince Chukwuemeka I. Onyesoh to Fellow Nigerians)
Available data show that unless there are drastic changes in attitudes among Nigerians on both sides of the divide, to put a stop to the present fundamentalist drift to lawlessness at the highest level of governance, total Sharianisation of Nigeria would be completed and Nigeria democratically proclaimed an Islamic Republic long before 2070.
Implications of Projected Population Explosion 2050
According to the Population Census Bureau (PCB) of the United States, by 2050 AD Nigerian population is estimated to explode to 402 million, making it the world’s 3rd most populous country in the world. Most of the projected explosion is determined to be a result of deliberate prosecution of Jihad of Population Growth by the Upper North, using uncontrolled birth rate and family size, polygamous marriages, under-age marriage and pregnancy, State-sponsored mass weddings and massive cross-border immigration of Islamists from the North’s intentional porous borders.
On account of the above factors, the dangerous implication is that by 2050, more than 70% of Nigerians would be living in the North, the same time the North dominates Nigerian extreme poverty, illiteracy and violence – religious killings, maiming, raping, abduction and forced conversion/ marriage/impregnation of non-Moslem under-aged and adult females, kidnapping/extraction of ransom and confiscation of other people’s ancestral land (The 70% projection is a derivation from a study published in a 317-page book titled, Making Africa Work, authored by former President Olusegun Obasanjo and three others).
As is already happening, the North exports its extreme poverty, violence and fundamentalist/religious extremism all over Nigeria, even to the remotest villages in Southern Nigeria. In another 20 years after 2050 AD (2070 AD) when it is projected that up to 80-90% Nigerians would be northerners, God knows whether Afghanistan and Pakistan would be any different from that Nigeria!
Rising to 402 million by 2050 from 213 million in 2018, means a growth of 189 million within the next 32 years, entailing an annual growth of about 6 million – annual percentage growth of about 2.8 to 3%. Nigeria’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita (PPP based) growth, in the past couple of years since 2015, varies from negative growth to marginal growths of 1 to 2%.
(GDP per capita (PPP based) is the total value of goods and services produced in an economy converted to international dollars using purchasing power parity, divided by the total population in the economy).
The deficiency between Nigerian annual population average growth of 3%, and GDP growth (from negative to 1 to 2%), is therefore as much as 1 to 2.5% which manifests in unemployment growth, resulting in high level of poverty, violence and absence of well- being in the economy.
Nigeria, World’s Capital of Poverty:
In May, 2018 Nigeria progressively turned out the world’s capital of poverty – highest number of extreme poor in the world – 87 million (42.40%), thus overtaking India with 70.6 million extreme poor – 5% of its 1.3 billion (six times Nigeria’s population). Living in extreme poverty as defined by the World Bank is living with under $1.90 to $2 (N680) per day and therefore unable to meet minimal needs for survival. The 2015 World Poverty Clock of the World Data Lab in Vienna, Austria, stated that 42.40 per cent of Nigerians were living in extreme poverty and in June 2018, the figure rose to 44.2% of estimated 191 million (May 2018).
On the average, seven people in Nigeria descend into poverty every minute, where as in India, the poverty clock shows per minute decline of 44 people. Whereas India deploys massive poverty alleviation measures, the Federal government of Nigeria does not seem to understand the difference between alms-giving, like its Trade Moni, and meaningful policies that can get people out of poverty.
Instead, it seems to encourage the terrorism of Cattle Fulani Herdsmen militants which has driven peasant farmers, particularly rural women whom they indiscriminately kill after raping, off the farms into refugee camps. Close to 70% of peasant farmers in Nigeria are women. The danger of food scarcity therefore looms high. The devastation in the Northeast zone over Islamic religious differences is another massive poverty creator.
The Northwest is the seat of the Caliphate headquarters and a bastion of feudalism which seems to grow poverty. It is no surprise that Sokoto is the poorest state in Nigeria and Katsina state, the home state of President Buhari, probably the most insecure state in Nigeria. Katsina State Governor has surrendered to terrorists whose leaders he serially meets and begs to accept amnesty and stop terrorizing the State, thus confirming state inability to arrest, charge and punish.
The Federal government planned Fulani radio station, N100billion hand-out to Miyetti Allah and the cattle colony, aka RUGA/National Livestock Transformation Plan (NLTP)/Water Resources Bill or whatever new toga Aso Rock might choose to adorn RUGA with, for foreign herdsmen terrorists and/or their agents, signposts the dangerous resolve of Aso Rock in overwhelming indigenous peoples of Nigeria with infusion from over 150 million Fulanis of West Africa.
The proposed RUGA has now been replaced by the proposed National Livestock Transformation Plan (NLTP), all in a bid to please cattle rearers, worst of all foreign, who otherwise are awarded the right to rampage, destroy farms for cattle feed stock, kill and rape without consequence and confiscate land belonging to indigenous peoples of Nigeria.
The people of the Upper North do not wish to accept that ignorance, unemployment, high mortality rates of infants and adults and poverty, are natural by-products of feudalism and religious fundamentalism. It is considered heretic to suggest that.
And finally on poverty, Nigeria is doomed to remain extremely poor as long as there are no borders with all the land-locked countries bordering Nigeria in the North (Niger and Chad) for which Nigeria remains unofficial seaport of imports and factory for almost all production endeavours. No economic plan can be successfully implemented without territorial limits and a known population.
The issue is attitudinal. People of the Upper North identify more with fellow fundamentalists of these neighboring countries than *other Nigerians . This is typical of Sharia Law which recognizes no other State or Constitution, than Sharia.
Non-Moslem Nigerians have an unfortunate docile attitude that no one can Sharianize Nigeria, even though as I write, Nigeria is more than 60% Sharianized.
It is important to understand the difference between Islam in the 21st Century and Fundamentalist Islam or Islamism. Islam in the 21st Century is moderate Islam, like in South West of Nigeria and Malaysia, both with no Sharia Law. Moderate Islam recognizes States, national Constitutions, and Common Law including guaranteeing all the fundamental freedoms of citizens.
Fundamentalist Islam recognizes only Sharia Law and has no regard for any other Law including National Constitutions except where, like in Saudi Arabia, the national Constitution is the Quran and Sunna (Hadiths), both of which make up the Sharia Law.
The only known way of implementing Sharia Law on non-believers/half believers is by Jihad (holy war) waged by Islamic militants including those wielding State power. Islamic militants occupying state offices, employ Jihad of Words, of Deception, of Sharia Law and of Taxation and Financial Reward (Corruption) to wage their own form of Jihad on bemused non-Moslems.
This is what is presently going on in Nigeria as bewildered Nigerians look on, only rousing from their enfeeblement to offer prayers to God to once more come to their rescue. Yet the Bible in St. Matthew’s Gospel 25:14-30, The Parable of the Talents, teaches us that God showers His mercies not on the indolent but on purposeful perseverance.
Islamic militancy should therefore not be treated as mere terrorism but ideological war. “It is not just terrorism; it is an ideology, a very compelling body of ideas that causes individuals to devote their lives, sometimes to give up their lives for this dream of how society can be ordered. And for those who lose their lives in the militancy, there are assurances of after-life paradise.
Above is the nature of Islamic fundamentalism and it is guided by the injunctions as detailed in the Quran and Sunna (how the associates of the founder noted him live his life and how they think he would wish his true followers to live).
All records of his injunctions were declared by him between 583AD – 632 AD. All Fundamentalists of the 21st Century, by imposing Sharia on any populace, therefore wish to compel such subjects to go back to living as in 632 AD! This is the root of close to 90% of violence the world over and has been responsible for most underdevelopment around the globe.
Fundamentalists therefore listen to no pleas or appeals for waivers. This is the source of “your land or your life” doctrine as espoused by Aso Rock special adviser on media and publicity, Femi Adesina.
The way forward for Nigeria
Preaching for restructuring without any actions internally and internationally, is like preaching to the dumb and deaf. All actions that are violent or likely to be construed as violent, must however be eschewed.
I identify with the declaration of Dwight Eisenhower (1890-1969), Supreme Commander of successful WW II Allied Forces in Europe, 1st Commander of NATO and 34th US President 1953-1961: “I hate war as only a soldier who has lived it can, only as one who has seen its brutality, its futility, its stupidity.”
Besides, as a Prince of pacifist and oldest Nigerian Kingship tradition in Nigeria and custodian of Igbo culture and tradition, Nri, all my approaches to changes in society are anchored on non-violence.
Furthermore, it is obvious that all the coercive forces in Nigeria are under fundamentalists influence. It would therefore be suicidal to attempt any use of force, which is the source of strength of fundamentalists. Various controversial policies of the government seem engineered to provoke Nigerians to rise, but to do so will be stupid.
To dislodge fundamentalists, nonviolence must govern all reactions. The way out is therefore internal and international articulation and publicity, litigation and diplomacy against Nigeria’s programmed backward drift back to 1st millennium in the history of mankind.
Leopards and lambs are never bred in one cage. Every zoo in the world keeps them far apart in separate cages mesh/fence or enclosures; and cages of leopards are extraordinarily made strong to prevent escape.
Non-Moslems and moderate Moslems of Nigeria therefore have very limited options of choice:
Agitate for referendum and separation of the zones into independent Republics; but be ready to accept meaningful restructuring of Nigeria into a confederation of zones with more development-oriented parliamentary system of government, as before in 1960-66 .
It worked in Scotland, Canada, & various other countries. It will work here.
For the agitation to be meaningful, it must commence with rejection of Nigeria as it is presently packaged. Those who have accepted the concept of One Nigeria since 1966 should tell us how more united has been since then.
Albert Einstein cannot be wrong when he enthused: “ The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again, but expecting different result.
The Middle Belt must expel its neurotic fear of what the Upper North would do to them if the South breaks away for with that fear, no liberation of any kind would be conceded by the oppressors.
Switzerland, Luxemburg, Austria, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary are all land-locked, but with high human capital development, they are all able to transcend and achieve Very High Human Development in the UNDP Human Development Index (HDI); as against big Nigeria with 853 kilometres coastline but is in the miserable category of the Lowest of Human Development in the world.
Mahatma Mohandas Karamchand Gandhi (1869-1948) to liberate his people of India rightly taught them that: “When a slave begins to take pride in his fetters and hugs them like precious ornaments, the triumph of the slave-owner is complete. ”
And the Southwest must come out of its mentally deranged fear of losing its economic domination of big Nigeria if for any reason Nigeria breaks up. No omelet can be made without breaking an egg. Gandhi also taught his people, in the quote below, that mental liberation must precede physical liberation:
” The moment the slave resolves that he will no longer be a slave, his fetters fall. He frees himself and shows the way to others. Freedom and slavery are mental states.”
The alternative is to remain docile, do nothing and allow every Nigerian to be consumed in the fast emerging inferno of fundamentalism.
Chukwuemeka I. Onyesoh (Prince)
Note: The full dissertation on above topic would be released in my blog (emekaonyesoh.blogspot.com.ng) within the next 30 days)